Writing ยท Leasing & Conversion
๐๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ ๐๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐: ๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฅ๐
Think of rowing upstream in a canoe with a hole in it. That's negative leverage in real estate.
You're in trouble if you buy an apartment complex at a 5.4% cap rate but borrow at 6.4%. Here's why:
๐๐๐ฌ๐ก ๐
๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐๐ช๐ฎ๐๐๐ณ๐: You're earning 5.4% but paying 6.4% on your loanโcosts exceed income from day one.
๐๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐๐ข๐ง: Your investment isnโt growing; it's feeding the lender, like planting a garden on quicksand.
๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ค ๐๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ข๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Market dips or increased expenses can turn your investment into a money pit, like walking a tightrope in roller skates.
So, why would a real estate investor ever buy with negative leverage?
๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ: They anticipate interest rates will drop, allowing them to refinance at a lower rate in the future.
๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก: They believe the Net Operating Income (NOI) will grow significantly, outpacing the higher borrowing costs.
๐๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฒ: Theyโre purchasing the property at a deep discount, expecting substantial appreciation or value-add opportunities.
๐๐๐ฑ ๐๐๐ฏ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ: They are leveraging tax benefits or incentives that mitigate the higher borrowing costs, making the overall investment attractive.
๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ: Some funds must deploy their capital within a specific timeframe or risk losing it. This pressure can lead to investments with negative leverage, especially if they believe in the property's long-term potential.
๐๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: The sponsors only get paid by doing deals. Theyโre like sharksโthey must keep swimming to stay alive, even if itโs not in the investorsโ best interest. This pressure can lead to investments with negative leverage as they prioritize deal volume over deal quality.
๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ข๐ ๐๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: The property is in a prime location with limited availability, and the long-term appreciation potential justifies the short-term negative leverage.
While there are special circumstances where buying with negative leverage might make sense, it's generally best to avoid it. Negative leverage is like buying a cow that consumes more than it produces in milkโleaving you both broke and baffled.
Current 10-year Rates range from 6.38% to 6.66%, and current cap rates are below the cost of debt.