Writing ยท Leasing & Conversion

2026-02-22
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚โ€™๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ Iโ€™ve been skeptical of crypto for years. Still am, mostly. But I just read a Fortune piece on Tether, and the business model deserves a closer look. Because it might be the most efficient float operation ever built. You give Tether a dollar. They give you a digital token. They invest your dollar in T-bills at 3-4%. They keep all the interest. You get zero. NVIDIA leads all publicly traded companies at about $2 million in profit per employee. Tether reported $13 billion with roughly 150 people. Thatโ€™s about $87 million per head. Double the headcount to be conservative. Still 20x the public company record. Buffett built Berkshire around insurance float. Collect premiums, invest them, pay claims later. Tether runs a similar model, but the claims process that eats 5-12% of an insurerโ€™s premiums (adjusters, investigators, fraud detection, legal). For Tether, itโ€™s a wire transfer. What makes the float sticky: minimum redemption is $100,000. $150 verification fee. One withdrawal per week. U.S. citizens largely canโ€™t redeem at all. Most holders sell on exchanges or peer to peer. The money never leaves Tetherโ€™s balance sheet. This isnโ€™t just traders. According to Tether, over 500 million people use USDT. In 2025, it processed $156 billion in payments under $1,000. Remittances. Payroll. Grocery money. 54 million on-chain wallets hold USDT. 31.5 million hold between $1 and $1,000. Just over a million hold more than $1,000. The backbone is a farmer in Nigeria or a freelancer in the Philippines holding $50 in digital dollars because their currency lost 40% this year. 4.5 billion people live on less than $10 a day. Many canโ€™t access a bank. They have a phone. Now they have USDT. Real customers with real problems. Most of crypto canโ€™t say that. Now hereโ€™s where it could break. No Big Four audit. Ever. They use quarterly โ€œattestationsโ€ from an Italian accounting firm. An attestation is a one-day snapshot. An audit examines the full picture. The CEO calls it a โ€œtop priority.โ€ Heโ€™s been saying that for years. Reserves: $141 billion in Treasuries, $17 billion in gold, $8 billion in Bitcoin, $15 billion in loans. Assets exceed liabilities by $6.3 billion. In theory. In a panic, you sell them while everyone else is selling too. In 2022, they handled $7 billion in redemptions over 48 hours. But USDT was $80 billion then. Today itโ€™s $187 billion. A 10% run now means $18.7 billion. At that scale, speed matters more than solvency. Insurance claims are predictable. Stablecoin redemptions are driven by panic. The more people redeem, the more others want to. Insurance doesnโ€™t face bank runs. Stablecoins do. A zero-cost liability, invested in risk-free assets, protected by redemption friction, serving hundreds of millions who chose it over their local options. Either brilliant or fragile. Probably both. https://lnkd.in/enVNvc6s
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