Writing · AI / Automation / Tech
History says “don’t worry about AI.” History has never seen a technology that can improve itself.
JPMorgan just published a note saying AI will look like past technological revolutions—steam engines, electricity, computers. Each one triggered “violent task churn” but ultimately created new jobs, higher productivity, and economic growth.
They’re not wrong about history. The steam engine crushed hand-loom weavers, but it also created coal miners and rail workers. Electricity wiped out candle makers but gave rise to an entire consumer goods industry. Computers reduced clerical work but built software empires.
Here’s the problem: history only rhymes when the rules don’t change.
Three things make AI fundamentally different:
It improves itself. Steam engines didn’t design better steam engines. Electricity didn’t invent semiconductors. AI is recursive—each improvement accelerates the next. That compounding makes its trajectory unique.
It targets white-collar work. Previous revolutions displaced primarily blue-collar workers. White-collar jobs—clerks, accountants, managers—grew in number. AI flips that script. It’s already writing, coding, analyzing, and negotiating.
It converges with robotics. Past shifts rolled out in sequence. AI and robotics are evolving together. Pair a self-improving AI with dexterous machines, and you’re not just automating tasks—you’re potentially automating all forms of labor.
Yes, new roles will emerge. Humans will still be valued for connection, creativity, and accountability. But anyone who claims the historical playbook applies cleanly is ignoring the magnitude of what’s happening.
We are entering the first era where human labor may no longer be the binding constraint on productivity. That is not “business as usual.” That is uncharted territory.
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