Writing ยท Capital / Finance / Investing

2025-04-11
๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ ๐‹๐จ๐จ๐ค ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐š ๐๐ž๐ฐ ๐๐ฅ๐š๐ง, ๐๐ž ๐‡๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐€๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ค๐ž๐ง. Post-mortem it. Or repeat it. Most business people โ€” don't really want the truth. They want comfort. They want the numbers to look good. They want the story to sound smart. But if you want to actually get better, you need to stop high-fiving wins and start dissecting your screwups. Thatโ€™s where the post-mortem comes in. โ€œ๐“๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐œ๐š๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐๐ž๐ฆ๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐ข๐ญ.โ€ โ€“ ๐†๐ž๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐ž ๐’๐š๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ฒ๐š๐ง๐š And yet, people keep repeating. Why? Because they donโ€™t look backโ€”they rationalize. They say: โ€œIt wasnโ€™t our fault.โ€ โ€œThe market changed.โ€ โ€œWe did everything rightโ€ฆ it just didnโ€™t work out.โ€ Wrong. You didnโ€™t do everything right. You just didnโ€™t run the post-mortem. Do This After Every Deal, Project, or Decision Ask yourself: What was my original guess? What did I believe would happen? What actually happened? What worked? What flopped? What information did I missโ€”or ignore? What will I stop doing next time? Johnson & Johnson literally forces themselves to do this. Two years after a big deal, they pull out the original projections and compare them to the resultsโ€”line by line. Why? Because truth doesnโ€™t care about your feelings. It cares about accuracy. Warren Buffett put it like this: โ€œ๐“๐ซ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ก๐ฌ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐› ๐๐ž๐œ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ž๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐ง๐จ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ-๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐ž๐.โ€ If You're Not Willing to Track Your Batting Average, You Shouldnโ€™t Be at the Plate Charlie Munger calls it like it is: "๐˜๐จ๐ฎโ€™๐ซ๐ž ๐š ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐๐จ๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐Ÿ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ ๐๐ž๐ฉ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐œ๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ.โ€ Translation: Look at what died. Figure out why. Then stop doing that. Too many businesspeople want to hide the bodies. They sugarcoat failure. They blame the market. They never improve. The best managers? They obsess over what didnโ€™t workโ€”because thatโ€™s where the gold is. Want to Be Smarter? Do post-mortems. Ruthlessly. Most people keep failing the same way because theyโ€™re scared of the truth. The truth isnโ€™t comfortableโ€”but itโ€™s the only thing that makes you better. Get serious. Do the post-mortem. Or keep rewriting the same excuses in your investor reports.
Capital / Finance / InvestingMindset / Mental Models / Decision Making

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